People reaction on Arvind Kejriwal contesting against Sheila Dikshit?

While browsing I found very interesting that what people feel about Arvind decision to fight directly with Sheila Dikhit.

The question was

What are the implication of Arvind Kejriwal contesting against Sheila Dikshit?

Arvind Kejriwal announced on June 2nd 2013 that he will contest against Delhi chief minister Sheila Dikshit in the Delhi assembly polls. Arvind launched his political party AAP ( Aam Aadmi Party) in 2012. AAP will be contesting on all seats for Delhi Assembly elections 2013.

What do you think would be the impact of him contesting against Sheila, the current CM of Delhi? 

Snaps of the Answers:

Ujjawal Modi 

his is just another step to change the ways in which politics is done in India. Right now, on a sure shot seat, the opposition parties don't even attempt to fight. There was no candidature against Dimpy Yadav's (Daughter in Law of Mulayam Singh Yadav) MLA elections in Kannauj. No party contested the recent Rajya sabha polls in Assam against the PM Manmohan Singh. Is this a silent (or may be expressed) understanding among the parties? Are they hand in hand in looting the masses??......

  

Ravi Sankar Rao .D

An IIT Grad,
an IRS officer, by now he should have been enjoying all luxuries and privileges which he would have got, but 
won the Ramon Magsaysay Award for Emergent Leadership in 2006 for his contribution to the enactment of the Right to Information Act,2005 and for activating India's Right to Information Act and bringing it two action.

Anonymous

Arvind Kejriwal has nothing to lose. He has done his bit to wake up the people and make a call for change. If people do not respond now when Sheila Dikshit has failed so miserably over everything, when will they respond.

  

Divya Gandhi

You don't need a mathematician to tell you that there are two possibilities:
1. Kejriwal Loses and 2. He wins. Let us see both scenarios:

Kejriwal loses:

Short answer: AAP is still a budding party. Parliamant Elections are due in 2014. and they shouldn't lose their immense follower base on these minor elections (in the frame of national politics). All the clamor of bringing change would die as soon as he loses his seat in Assembly election. Kejriwal losing the Assembly Elections would mean blow to the party in nascent stage, a severe blow that will take a long time to heal.
Long answer:

1. Enthusiasm of party workers and root level supporters will drastically fall and this will be a huge blow to the party before the much hyped 2014 election.
2. The statistics will take a serious hit. Imagine how would political gurus and analysts react when the huge supporter base that AAP claims will fall flat against the Delhi queen! Kejriwal and AAP will lose credibility.
   "AAP sub hawa hai!" Translate: AAP is too superfluous to trust.
3. Also, remember that election results are heavily influenced by the swing votes. If Kejriwal, the man himself loses in Delhi Assembly Elections, his image will be in serious problem. Also AAP will heavily lose funds and sponsorship. There is high likelihood that it will become financially too weak to even contest the 2014 battle. Remember, money plays and important role in campaigning (not to buy votes but by campaigning/organizing events in various constituencies)
4. More so, If Kejriwal loses in Delhi Assembly Elections and yet goes on to contest in 2014, he will be damned as the type of person who is too insisting to win, a difficult-to-put down contestant. Remember, this is precisely why people hate Modi, he just wouldn't let it go. Unlike Kejriwal, Modi has a strong performance record and therefore, can afford the hatred of selected few.

Kejriwal wins:

1. Now lets imagine a fictitious scenario that AAP invests all its funds in one seat and the night before the election, the genie grants Kejriwal a wish and Kejriwal wins. Voila moment! He still can't make a govt in Delhi single handedly. Worse, he might just interfere in the proceedings of government in every way possible to vent out his frustration and obviously to register his genuine protest. The fact is HE STILL CAN"T MAKE A DIFFERENCE or BRING IN THE CHANGE! Worse, he will gain a new section of haters.
2. Now if he wants to contest 2014 election, he will have to leave his seat in Delhi Assembly, thereby losing credibility of people in his constituency. He will be shamed for being fickle mindedness and AAP will be blamed for suffering leadership crisis much like Congress is blamed for supporting only THE family.

What he should have done instead?

I strongly believe that Delhi Assembly was the perfect time to bring in and introduce new faces in the central scene. Kejriwal is trying to lead the party himself on all fronts. He has to tell and persuade his followers that he trusts them with bigger responsibilities. By introducing new faces, he would have gained the trust and respect of both political workers and swing voters. By being true to the name, AAM AADMI PARTY, he would have gained respect and publicity.
Not that they would win, but their stronghold in Delhi for 2014 would have been a little stronger. Now I am not saying, AAP's candidate has to be Kejriwal's right hand, it could have been any popular contestant of the constituency (a delhi citizen) against Dikshit. AAP needs to put a face on its supporters. When you say BJP you talk Modi, Advani, Sushma, Rajnath, Chouhan, Raje etc. When you say Congress, you talk The Gandhi family, Chidambram, Antony, Sachin Pilot etc.. When you talk AAP you say Kejriwal and end of story...

Elections are not won by sentiments, they are won by strategies. There is a reason why there are only two national parties in India and pretty much only 1 before 1990s.

Also, let me make it clear AAP has no present tense, it is just the future they are building. Their immediate concern should be to have respectable candidates to lead at least 60-80 constituencies in 2014 from the front and win at least 50% of them. Make strategies sooner, decisions faster and results will definitely be better.

None can form a party, win elections and become PM in matter of 3 years. Not Mahatma Gandhi, not Nehru, not Vallabh bhai Patel. Well, actually only Rahul Gandhi and Sir Ravindra Jadega can! :P

  

Hrishikesh Amravatka

This is going to be Make or Break for AAP. Contesting from Delhi which is stronghold of congress is similar to David vs Goliath.
Congress can gear up to all bad means to crush AAP. Because crushing AAP especially Kejriwal will be a crushing AAP forever and be a symbolic win for Congress. And they can prove the rest of the country that Anti Curruption movement will not affect them for General Elections of 2014.

I know AAP will win if there is FAIR elections.But I strongly doubt given so much is at stake for UPA in this election and Delhi being right there proximity wise they will have all means possible to divert the results towards them.
I seriously hope AAP gets a fair chance.